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Focus of the P2F Working group
The P2F challenge
To use paleoclimate information to improve predictions of climate change
Strategy - methodology
- Identify and document quantitative relationships between past and future runs and check consistency with available observations.
- Identify and implement suitable methodologies to use the information to explore quantitative constraints on future climate change.
- Identify whether underlying mechanisms between past and future changes are the same.
Code for methodologies should be fully published to enable participation of others
Targets
- Estimating future climate by exploring information from multiple PMIP intervals.
- Exploring divergent estimates of climate sensitivity - towards reconciliation.
- Predicting regional climate change - beyond climate sensitivity
Other things
Considerable interaction with the rest of PMIP will be required.
- Model and data from all intervals needs to be publicly available.
- P2F analyses focus on quantitative methodologies so will require input from process based experts