wg:ptof:current_aims_and_scope

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wg:ptof:current_aims_and_scope [2018/08/31 15:49] – created brierleywg:ptof:current_aims_and_scope [2018/09/19 19:15] (current) – Broadened aims: Chris brierley
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-====== Focus of the P2F Working group ======+====== Focus of the P2FVar Working group ======
  
-=== The P2F challenge ===+=== The challenge ===
  
-To use paleoclimate information to improve predictions of climate change+To make full use of the available paleoclimate information, with a focus on improving future predictions
  
 === Strategy - methodology === === Strategy - methodology ===
-  - Identify and document quantitative relationships between past and future runs and check consistency with available observations.+  - Identify and document quantitative relationships across multiple time periods and check consistency with available observations. 
 +  - Identify whether underlying mechanisms are the same between the time periods (be they past or future).
   - Identify and implement suitable methodologies to use the information to explore quantitative constraints on future climate change.   - Identify and implement suitable methodologies to use the information to explore quantitative constraints on future climate change.
-  - Identify whether underlying mechanisms between past and future changes are the same. 
  
-//Code for methodologies should be fully published to enable participation of others//+//Where possible code for methodologies should be fully published to enable participation of others//
  
 === Targets === === Targets ===
  
-  - Estimating future climate by exploring information from multiple PMIP intervals. +  - Understanding changes across multiple PMIP intervals - especially in climate variability 
-  - Exploring divergent estimates of climate sensitivity - towards reconciliation. +  - Exploring the potential implications of theses changes for how we think about (future) climate change 
-  - Predicting regional climate change - beyond climate sensitivity+  - Estimating future climate by using information quantitatively
  
-=== Other things === +=== Openness and Integration === 
-//Considerable interaction with the rest of PMIP will be required.// +//This working group exists as an intergrative activity across the whole of PMIP. The challenge will only be achieved if many people work together. It relies on extending into the analysis space the underlying rationale of PMIP: that more can be learned by coordinating our actions. Not only doesit require output from multiple models for multiple time periods, it also relies on:// 
-  * Model and data from all intervals needs to be publicly available. +  * Openness about methodologies and derived diagnostics 
-  * P2F analyses focus on quantitative methodologies so will require input from process based experts+  * Data from all intervals needs to be publicly available. 
 +  * Input from process-based experts to advise on quantitative methodologies 
  
  • wg/ptof/current_aims_and_scope.txt
  • Last modified: 2018/09/19 19:15
  • by brierley