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wg:ptof:current_aims_and_scope [2018/08/31 15:49]
brierley created
wg:ptof:current_aims_and_scope [2018/09/19 19:15] (current)
brierley Broadened aims: Chris
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-====== Focus of the P2F Working group ======+====== Focus of the P2FVar ​Working group ======
  
-=== The P2F challenge ===+=== The challenge ===
  
-To use paleoclimate information ​to improve ​predictions ​of climate change+To make full use of the available ​paleoclimate information, with a focus on improving future ​predictions
  
 === Strategy - methodology === === Strategy - methodology ===
-  - Identify and document quantitative relationships ​between past and future runs and check consistency with available observations.+  - Identify and document quantitative relationships ​across multiple time periods ​and check consistency with available observations
 +  - Identify whether underlying mechanisms are the same between the time periods (be they past or future).
   - Identify and implement suitable methodologies to use the information to explore quantitative constraints on future climate change.   - Identify and implement suitable methodologies to use the information to explore quantitative constraints on future climate change.
-  - Identify whether underlying mechanisms between past and future changes are the same. 
  
-//Code for methodologies should be fully published to enable participation of others//+//Where possible code for methodologies should be fully published to enable participation of others//
  
 === Targets === === Targets ===
  
-  - Estimating future climate by exploring information from multiple PMIP intervals. +  - Understanding changes across ​multiple PMIP intervals ​- especially in climate variability 
-  - Exploring ​divergent estimates ​of climate ​sensitivity - towards reconciliation. +  - Exploring ​the potential implications ​of theses changes for how we think about (future) ​climate ​change 
-  - Predicting regional ​climate ​change - beyond climate sensitivity+  - Estimating future ​climate ​by using information quantitatively
  
-=== Other things ​=== +=== Openness and Integration ​=== 
-//Considerable interaction with the rest of PMIP will be required.// +//This working group exists as an intergrative activity across ​the whole of PMIP. The challenge ​will only be achieved if many people work togetherIt relies on extending into the analysis space the underlying rationale of PMIP: that more can be learned by coordinating our actions. Not only doesit require output from multiple models for multiple time periods, it also relies on:// 
-  * Model and data from all intervals needs to be publicly available. +  * Openness about methodologies ​and derived diagnostics 
-  * P2F analyses focus on quantitative methodologies so will require input from process based experts+  * Data from all intervals needs to be publicly available. 
 +  * Input from process-based experts ​to advise on quantitative methodologies ​